PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The truestarz’s govt editor of awards, Scott Feinberg, displays Feinberg’s finest try and predict the habits of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences, not his private preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and trade insiders, evaluation of promoting and awards campaigns, outcomes of awards ceremonies that precede the Oscars and the historical past of the Oscars ceremony itself.

*BEST PICTURE*

Projected Nominees
1. Every little thing In all places All at As soon as (A24, March 25, trailer)
2. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount, Could 27, trailer) — podcast (Jerry Bruckheimer)
3. Elvis (Warner Bros., June 24, trailer)
4. Tár (Focus, October 7, trailer)
5. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight, October 21, trailer)
6. The Fabelmans (Common, November 11, trailer) — podcast (Steven Spielberg)
7. Avatar: The Means of Water (twentieth Century/Disney, December 16, trailer)
8. Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly (Disney, November 11, trailer) — podcast (Kevin Feige)
9. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Netflix, October 28, trailer)
10. Triangle of Disappointment (Neon, October 7, trailer)

Alternate
RRR (Variance) — podcast (S. S. Rajamouli)

Potential Shock
Residing (Sony Classics)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Shut (A24)

*BEST DIRECTOR*

Projected Nominees
1. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) — podcast
2. Baz Luhrmann (Elvis)
3. Todd Subject (Tár)
4. Daniel Scheinert & Daniel Kwan (Every little thing In all places All at As soon as)
5. Joseph Kosinski (Prime Gun: Maverick)

Alternate
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Entrance)

Potential Shock
S. S. Rajamouli (RRR) — podcast

Shoulda Been a Contender
Damien Chazelle (Babylon) — podcast

*BEST ACTOR*

Projected Nominees
1. Austin Butler (Elvis)
2. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Invoice Nighy (Residing)
5. Tom Cruise (Prime Gun: Maverick)

Alternate
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

Potential Shock
Gabriel LaBelle (The Fabelmans)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Jonathan Majors (Devotion)

*BEST ACTRESS*

Projected Nominees
1. Cate Blanchett (Tár) — podcast
2. Michelle Yeoh (Every little thing In all places All at As soon as) — podcast
3. Danielle Deadwyler (Until)
4. Olivia Colman (Empire of Gentle) — podcast
5. Ana de Armas (Blonde)

Alternate
Viola Davis (The Girl King)

Potential Shock
Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Margot Robbie (Babylon) — podcast

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR*

Projected Nominees
1. Ke Huy Quan (Every little thing In all places All at As soon as)
2. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
3. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
4. Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
5. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Alternate
Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse) — podcast

Potential Shock
Tom Hanks (Elvis) — podcast 1 and a couple of

Shoulda Been a Contender
Brad Pitt (Babylon)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS*

Projected Nominees
1. Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly)
2. Jamie Lee Curtis (Every little thing In all places All at As soon as)
3. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Stephanie Hsu (Every little thing In all places All at As soon as) — podcast
5. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) — podcast

Alternate
Dolly de Leon (Triangle of Disappointment)

Potential Shock
Hong Chau (The Whale)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Frankie Corio (Aftersun)

*BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY*

Projected Nominees
1. Ladies Speaking (Sarah Polley)
2. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
3. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Rian Johnson)
4. Residing (Kazuo Ishiguro)
5. The Whale (Samuel D. Hunter)

Alternate
White Noise (Noah Baumbach)

Potential Shock
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Guillermo del Toro, Patrick McHale & Matthew Robbins) — podcast 1 and a couple of (del Toro)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Girl Chatterley’s Lover (David Magee)

*BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY*

Projected Nominees
1. Every little thing In all places All at As soon as (Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
2. The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
3. Tár (Todd Subject)
4. The Fabelmans (Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
5. Triangle of Disappointment (Ruben Östlund)

Alternate
Elvis (Jeremy Doner, Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell & Craig Pearce)

Potential Shock
Nope (Jordan Peele) — podcast

Shoulda Been a Contender
Aftersun (Charlotte Wells)

*BEST ANIMATED FEATURE*

Projected Nominees
1. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix) — podcast 1 and a couple of (del Toro)
2. Turning Crimson (Pixar)
3. Puss in Boots: The Final Want (Dreamworks)
4. Marcel the Shell With Footwear On (A24)
5. Wendell & Wild (Netflix)

Alternate
Inu-Oh (GKIDS)

Potential Shock
Unusual World (Disney)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Everlasting Spring (ARTE)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE*

Projected Nominees
1. All That Breathes (HBO)
2. Retrograde (Nat Geo)
3. Hearth of Love (Nat Geo/Neon)
4. Final Flight House (MTV)
5. All of the Magnificence and the Bloodshed (Neon)

Alternate
Navalny (Warner Bros./CNN)

Potential Shock
Unhealthy Axe (IFC)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Good Night time Oppy (Amazon)

*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE*

Projected Nominees
1. All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Germany)
2. EO (Poland)
3. Shut (Belgium)
4. Determination to Depart (South Korea)
5. The Quiet Lady (Eire)

Alternate
Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)

Potential Shock
Saint Omer (France)

Shoulda Been a Contender
RRR (India)

*BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY*

Projected Nominees
1. Prime Gun: Maverick (Claudio Miranda)
2. Elvis (Mandy Walker)
3. Avatar: The Means of Water (Russell Carpenter)
4. Babylon (Linus Sandgren)
5. Empire of Gentle (Roger Deakins)

Alternate
The Fabelmans (Janusz Kaminski)

Potential Shock
The Batman (Greig Fraser)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Emancipation (Robert Richardson)

*BEST COSTUME DESIGN*

Projected Nominees
1. Elvis (Catherine Martin)
2. Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly (Ruth E. Carter)
3. Residing (Sandy Powell) — podcast
4. Babylon (Mary Zophres)
5. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Jenny Beavan)

Alternate
The Girl King (Gersha Phillips)

Potential Shock
Every little thing In all places All at As soon as (Shirley Kurata)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Don’t Fear Darling (Arianne Phillips)

*BEST FILM EDITING*

Projected Nominees
1. Prime Gun: Maverick (Eddie Hamilton)
2. Avatar: The Means of Water (David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua & Stephen E. Rivkin)
3. Elvis (Jonathan Redmond & Matt Villa)
4. Every little thing In all places All at As soon as (Paul Rogers)
5. The Fabelmans (Sarah Broshar & Michael Kahn)

Alternate
Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly (Kelley Dixon, Jennifer Lame & Michael P. Shawver)

Potential Shock
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Sven Budelmann)

Shoulda Been a Contender
Babylon (Tom Cross)

*BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING*

Projected Nominees
1. Elvis
2. The Whale
3. The Batman
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly
5. All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Alternate
Blonde

Potential Shock
Crimes of the Future

Shoulda Been a Contender
Every little thing In all places All at As soon as

*BEST ORIGINAL SCORE*

Projected Nominees
1. The Fabelmans (John Williams)
2. Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
3. Avatar: The Means of Water (Simon Franglen)
4. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Alexandre Desplat)
5. Ladies Speaking (Hildur Guðnadóttir)

Alternate
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Volker Bertelmann)

Potential Shock
She Stated (Nicholas Britell)

Shoulda Been a Contender
The Batman (Michael Giacchino)

*BEST ORIGINAL SONG*

Projected Nominees
1. “Naatu Naatu” (RRR) — Chandrabose & M. M. Keeravani
2. “Elevate Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly) — Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna & Tems
3. “Maintain My Hand” (Prime Gun: Maverick) — Girl Gaga & Michael ‘BloodPop’ Tucker — podcast 1 and a couple of (Gaga)
4. “New Physique Rhumba” (White Noise) — James Murphy
5. “My Thoughts and Me” (Selena Gomez: My Thoughts and Me) — Amy Allen, Jonathan Bellion, Selena Gomez, Jordan Ok. Johnson, Stefan Johnson & Michael Pollack — podcast (Gomez)

Alternate
“Nothing Is Misplaced (You Give Me Energy)” (Avatar: The Means of Water) — Simon Franglen, Swedish Home Mafia & Abel ‘The Weeknd’ Tesfaye

Potential Shock
“Good Afternoon” (Spirited) — Benj Pasek, Khiyon Hursey, Sukari Jones, Justin Paul & Mark Sonnenblick

Shoulda Been a Contender
“No person Like U” (Turning Crimson) — Billie Eilish & Finneas — podcast

*BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN*

Projected Nominees
1. Elvis
2. Babylon
3. Avatar: The Means of Water
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly
5. Every little thing In all places All at As soon as

Alternate
All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Potential Shock
The Fabelmans

Shoulda Been a Contender
13 Lives

*BEST SOUND*

Projected Nominees
1. Elvis
2. Prime Gun: Maverick
3. Avatar: The Means of Water
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly
5. All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Alternate
Every little thing In all places All at As soon as

Potential Shock
Moonage Daydream

Shoulda Been a Contender
Tár

*BEST VISUAL EFFECTS*

Projected Nominees
1. Avatar: The Means of Water
2. Black Panther: Wakanda Ceaselessly
3. Prime Gun: Maverick
4. The Batman
5. Physician Unusual within the Multiverse of Insanity

Alternate
All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Potential Shock
Jurassic World Dominion

Shoulda Been a Contender
RRR

*BEST ANIMATED SHORT*

Projected Nominees
1. The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
2. An Ostrich Instructed Me the World Is Faux and I Suppose I Imagine It
3. New Moon
4. Extra Than I Wish to Bear in mind
5. It’s Good in Right here

Alternate
The Rubbish Man

Potential Shock
The Flying Sailor

Shoulda Been a Contender
The Debutante

*BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT*

Projected Nominees
1. 38 on the Backyard — podcast (Travon Free)
2. Stranger on the Gate
3. The Flagmakers
4. Nuisance Bear
5. The Martha Mitchell Impact

Alternate
The Elephant Whisperers

Potential Shock
How Do You Measure a 12 months?

Shoulda Been a Contender
Anastasia

*BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT*

Projected Nominees
1. The Crimson Suitcase
2. An Irish Goodbye
3. Nearly House
4. The Lone Wolf
5. All in Favor

Alternate
The Therapy

Potential Shock
Warsha

Shoulda Been a Contender
Night time Experience