PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The truestarz’s government editor of awards Scott Feinberg, displays his finest try and predict the habits of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences, not his private preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and business insiders, evaluation of promoting and awards campaigns, outcomes of awards ceremonies that precede the Oscars and the historical past of the Oscars ceremony itself. There might be common updates to mirror new developments.

* * *

*BEST PICTURE*

Frontrunners
Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as (A24)
The Fabelmans (Common) — podcast (Steven Spielberg)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (twentieth Century/Disney)
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount) — podcast (Jerry Bruckheimer)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight)
Elvis (Warner Bros.)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Netflix)
Tár (Focus)
Babylon (Paramount)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Netflix)

Main Threats
Girls Speaking (UAR)
The Lady King (Sony)
Triangle of Unhappiness (Neon)
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Disney) — podcast (Kevin Feige)
RRR (Variance)
She Mentioned (Common)

Prospects
Until (UAR) — podcast (Barbara Broccoli)
13 Lives (Amazon) — podcast (Ron Howard)
Residing (Sony Classics)
A Man Referred to as Otto (Sony) — podcast 1 and a couple of (Tom Hanks)
The Whale (A24)
Nope (Common) — podcast (Jordan Peele)

*BEST DIRECTOR*

Frontrunners
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) — podcast
James Cameron (Avatar: The Manner of Water)
Daniel Scheinert & Daniel Kwan (Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as)
Damien Chazelle (Babylon) — podcast
Baz Luhrmann (Elvis)

Main Threats
Sarah Polley (Girls Speaking)
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Entrance)
Gina Prince-Bythewood (The Lady King)
S. S. Rajamouli (R.R.R.)
Todd Subject (Tár)
Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Unhappiness)

Prospects
Ron Howard (13 Lives) — podcast
Park Chan-wook (Resolution to Depart)
Chinonye Chukwu (Until)
Joseph Kosinski (High Gun: Maverick)
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly)
Rian Johnson (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller)

*BEST ACTOR*

Frontrunners
Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
Austin Butler (Elvis)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Invoice Nighy (Residing)
Tom Cruise (High Gun: Maverick)

Main Threats
Tom Hanks (A Man Referred to as Otto) — podcast 1 and a couple of
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
Ralph Fiennes (The Menu)
Adam Sandler (Hustle) — podcast
Diego Calva (Babylon)

Prospects
Hugh Jackman (The Son) — podcast
Gabriel LaBelle (The Fabelmans)
Jeremy Pope (The Inspection)
Will Smith (Emancipation) — podcast
Track Kang-ho (Dealer)

*BEST ACTRESS*

Frontrunners
Cate Blanchett (Tár) — podcast
Michelle Yeoh (Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as) — podcast
Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
Danielle Deadwyler (Until)
Olivia Colman (Empire of Gentle)

Main Threats
Viola Davis (The Lady King)
Margot Robbie (Babylon) — podcast
Ana de Armas (Blonde)
Vicky Krieps (Corsage)
Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande) — podcast
Rooney Mara (Girls Speaking)

Prospects
Jennifer Lawrence (Causeway) — podcast
Anya Taylor-Pleasure (The Menu) — podcast
Zoe Kazan (She Mentioned)
Jessica Chastain (The Good Nurse) — podcast
Emma Corrin (Woman Chatterley’s Lover)
Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR*

Frontrunners
Ke Huy Quan (Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brad Pitt (Babylon)
Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)

Main Threats
Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse) — podcast
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Tom Hanks (Elvis) — podcast 1 and a couple of
Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)

Prospects
Jeremy Sturdy (Armageddon Time) — podcast
Ben Whishaw (Girls Speaking)
Micheal Ward (Empire of Gentle)
Anthony Hopkins (Armageddon Time) — podcast

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS*

Frontrunners
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly)
Dolly de Leon (Triangle of Unhappiness)
Jamie Lee Curtis (Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as)
Stephanie Hsu (Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as)
Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller) — podcast

Main Threats
Hong Chau (The Whale)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Claire Foy (Girls Speaking) — podcast
Jessie Buckley (Girls Speaking)
Keke Palmer (Nope)

Prospects
Carey Mulligan (She Mentioned) — podcast
Nina Hoss (Tár)
Gabrielle Union (The Inspection)
Thuso Mbedu (The Lady King)
Laura Dern (The Son)

*BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY*

Frontrunners
Girls Speaking (Sarah Polley)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Rian Johnson)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
Residing (Kazuo Ishiguro)
White Noise (Noah Baumbach)

Main Threats
She Mentioned (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)
Woman Chatterley’s Lover (David Magee)
The Good Nurse (Krysty Wilson-Cairns)
The Whale (Samuel D. Hunter)
The Marvel (Alice Birch & Sebastián Lelio)

Prospects
The Son (Christopher Hampton & Florian Zeller)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (James Cameron, Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver)
High Gun: Maverick (Peter Craig, Ehren Kruger, Justin Marks, Christopher McQuarrie & Eric Warren Singer)
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Joe Robert Cole & Ryan Coogler)

*BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY*

Frontrunners
Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as (Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
The Fabelmans (Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
Tár (Todd Subject)
Triangle of Unhappiness (Ruben Östlund)

Main Threats
Babylon (Damien Chazelle) — podcast
The Lady King (Dana Stevens)
Aftersun (Charlotte Wells)
Armageddon Time (James Grey) — podcast
Until (Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu & Michael Reilly)

Prospects
Nope (Jordan Peele) — podcast
Resolution to Depart (Park Chan-wook & Search engine optimisation-kyeong Jeong)
The Inspection (Class Bratton)
Elvis (Jeremy Doner, Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell & Craig Pearce)
R.R.R. (S. S. Rajamouli)

*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE*

Frontrunners
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Germany)
Shut (Belgium)
Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
Resolution to Depart (South Korea)
Corsage (Austria)

Main Threats
EO (Poland)
The Quiet Lady (Eire)
Holy Spider (Denmark)
Saint Omer (France)
Bardo (Mexico) — podcast (Alejandro González Iñárritu)

Prospects
Return to Seoul (Cambodia)
Joyland (Pakistan)
Final Movie Present (India)
Cairo Conspiracy (Sweden)
The Blue Caftan (Morocco)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE*

Frontrunners
All That Breathes (HBO)
Fireplace of Love (Nat Geo/Neon)
Navalny (Warner Bros./CNN)
Retrograde (Nat Geo)
Final Flight House (MTV)

Main Threats
All of the Magnificence and the Bloodshed (Neon)
Dangerous Axe (IFC)
Descendant (Netflix)
The Territory (Nat Geo)
Moonage Daydream (Neon)

Prospects
The Janes (HBO)
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Track (Sony Classics)
Hidden Letters (Cargo)
Youngsters of the Mist (CAT&Docs)
A Home Fabricated from Splinters (nonetheless searching for U.S. distribution)

*BEST ANIMATED FEATURE*

Frontrunners
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
Marcel the Shell with Sneakers On (A24)
Turning Pink (Pixar)
Puss in Boots: The Final Want (Dreamworks)
Wendell & Wild (Netflix)

Main Contenders
Inu-Oh (GKIDS)
Unusual World (Disney)
Apollo 10 1/2 (Netflix)
The Bob’s Burgers Film (twentieth Century)
The Dangerous Guys (Common)

Prospects
Minions: The Rise of Gru (Common/Illumination)
Everlasting Spring (ARTE)
Luck (Apple/Skydance)
My Father’s Dragon (Netflix)
The Sea Beast (Netflix)

*BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING*

Frontrunners
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
The Batman
Elvis
The Whale

Main Threats
Crimes of the Future
Babylon
Blonde

Prospects
Emancipation
Amsterdam

*BEST ORIGINAL SCORE*

Frontrunners
The Fabelmans (John Williams)
Girls Speaking (Hildur Guðnadóttir)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (Simon Franglen)
Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Alexandre Desplat)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Ludwig Göransson)
The Lady King (Terence Blanchard)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Volker Bertelmann)
She Mentioned (Nicholas Britell)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Carter Burwell)

Prospects
Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as (Son Lux)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Nathan Johnson)
Devotion (Chanda Dancy)
Don’t Fear Darling (John Powell)
Nope (Michael Abels)

*BEST ORIGINAL SONG*

Frontrunners
“Carry Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly) — Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna & Tems
“Maintain My Hand” (High Gun: Maverick) — Bloodpop, Woman Gaga & Benjamin Rice — podcast 1 and a couple of (Gaga)
“Naatu Naatu” (RRR) — Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani & Rahul Sipligunj
“Stand Up” (Until) — D’Mile & Jazmine Sullivan
“Ciao Papa” (Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio) — Guillermo del Toro & Roeban Katz — podcast (del Toro)

Main Threats
“New Physique Rhumba” (White Noise) — James Murphy
“Carolina” (The place the Crawdads Sing) — Taylor Swift
“Nothing is Misplaced (You Give Me Energy)” (Avatar: The Manner of Water) — Simon Franglen, Swedish Home Mafia & Abel ‘The Weeknd’ Tesfaye
“This Is a Life” (Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as) — David Byrne, Ryan Lott & Mitski — podcast (Byrne)
“Time” (Amsterdam) — Aubrey ‘Drake’ Graham, Giveon Evans, Daniel Pemberton & Jahaan Akil Candy

Prospects
“Applause” (Inform It Like a Lady) — Diane Warren — podcast
“My Thoughts and Me” (Selena Gomez: My Thoughts and Me) — Selena Gomez — podcast
“Good Afternoon” (Spirited) — Benj Pasek, Khiyon Hursey, Sukari Jones, Justin Paul & Mark Sonnenblick
“Mud & Ash” (The Voice of Mud and Ash) — J. Ralph — podcast
“Til You’re House” (A Man Referred to as Otto) — David Hodges and Rita Wilson

*BEST SOUND*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick
Elvis
Avatar: The Manner of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
Babylon

Main Threats
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
Moonage Daydream
The Batman

Prospects
Every little thing In every single place All at As soon as
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio

*BEST VISUAL EFFECTS*

Frontrunners
Avatar: The Manner of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
Physician Unusual within the Multiverse of Insanity
The Batman
High Gun: Maverick

Main Threats
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
Jurassic World Dominion
Improbable Beasts: The Secrets and techniques of Dumbledore

Prospects
13 Lives
Nope