PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The truestarz’s govt editor of awards Scott Feinberg, displays his finest try and predict the conduct of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences, not his private preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and trade insiders, evaluation of promoting and awards campaigns, outcomes of awards ceremonies that precede the Oscars and the historical past of the Oscars ceremony itself. There shall be common updates to replicate new developments.

* * *

*BEST PICTURE*

Frontrunners
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount) — podcast (Jerry Bruckheimer)
All the things All over the place All at As soon as (A24)
The Fabelmans (Common) — podcast (Steven Spielberg)
Avatar: The Approach of Water (twentieth Century/Disney)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight)
Elvis (Warner Bros.)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Netflix)
Tár (Focus)
Triangle of Unhappiness (Neon)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Netflix)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually (Disney) — podcast (Kevin Feige)
Ladies Speaking (UAR)
Babylon (Paramount)
She Mentioned (Common)
The Lady King (Sony)

Potentialities
RRR (Variance)
Until (UAR) — podcast (Barbara Broccoli)
Dwelling (Sony Classics)
A Man Referred to as Otto (Sony) — podcast 1 and a pair of (Tom Hanks)
13 Lives (Amazon) — podcast (Ron Howard)

*BEST DIRECTOR*

Frontrunners
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) — podcast
James Cameron (Avatar: The Approach of Water)
Baz Luhrmann (Elvis)
Todd Subject (Tár)
Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Unhappiness)

Main Threats
Damien Chazelle (Babylon) — podcast
Daniel Scheinert & Daniel Kwan (All the things All over the place All at As soon as)
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Sarah Polley (Ladies Speaking)
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Entrance)
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually)

Potentialities
Gina Prince-Bythewood (The Lady King)
S. S. Rajamouli (RRR)
Joseph Kosinski (High Gun: Maverick)
Ron Howard (13 Lives) — podcast
Chinonye Chukwu (Until)
Rian Johnson (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller)

*BEST ACTOR*

Frontrunners
Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
Austin Butler (Elvis)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Invoice Nighy (Dwelling)
Tom Cruise (High Gun: Maverick)

Main Threats
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
Ralph Fiennes (The Menu)
Diego Calva (Babylon)
Tom Hanks (A Man Referred to as Otto) — podcast 1 and a pair of
Adam Sandler (Hustle) — podcast

Potentialities
Gabriel LaBelle (The Fabelmans)
Hugh Jackman (The Son) — podcast
Jeremy Pope (The Inspection)
Will Smith (Emancipation) — podcast
Tune Kang-ho (Dealer)

*BEST ACTRESS*

Frontrunners
Cate Blanchett (Tár) — podcast
Michelle Yeoh (All the things All over the place All at As soon as) — podcast
Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
Danielle Deadwyler (Until)
Olivia Colman (Empire of Gentle)

Main Threats
Viola Davis (The Lady King)
Margot Robbie (Babylon) — podcast
Ana de Armas (Blonde)
Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande) — podcast
Rooney Mara (Ladies Speaking)

Potentialities
Vicky Krieps (Corsage)
Jennifer Lawrence (Causeway) — podcast
Anya Taylor-Pleasure (The Menu) — podcast
Zoe Kazan (She Mentioned)
Letitia Wright (Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually)
Jessica Chastain (The Good Nurse) — podcast

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR*

Frontrunners
Ke Huy Quan (All the things All over the place All at As soon as)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
Brad Pitt (Babylon)

Main Threats
Tom Hanks (Elvis) — podcast 1 and a pair of
Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse) — podcast
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)

Potentialities
Ben Whishaw (Ladies Speaking)
Micheal Ward (Empire of Gentle)
Jeremy Robust (Armageddon Time) — podcast
Anthony Hopkins (Armageddon Time) — podcast

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS*

Frontrunners
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually)
Dolly de Leon (Triangle of Unhappiness)
Jamie Lee Curtis (All the things All over the place All at As soon as)
Stephanie Hsu (All the things All over the place All at As soon as)
Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller) — podcast

Main Threats
Hong Chau (The Whale)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Claire Foy (Ladies Speaking) — podcast
Jessie Buckley (Ladies Speaking)
Keke Palmer (Nope)
Carey Mulligan (She Mentioned) — podcast

Potentialities
Nina Hoss (Tár)
Gabrielle Union (The Inspection)
Jean Good (Babylon)
Thuso Mbedu (The Lady King)
Laura Dern (The Son)
Charlbi Dean (Triangle of Unhappiness)

*BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY*

Frontrunners
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Rian Johnson)
Ladies Speaking (Sarah Polley)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
Dwelling (Kazuo Ishiguro)
White Noise (Noah Baumbach)

Main Threats
She Mentioned (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)
Woman Chatterley’s Lover (David Magee)
The Good Nurse (Krysty Wilson-Cairns)
The Whale (Samuel D. Hunter)

Potentialities
High Gun: Maverick (Peter Craig, Ehren Kruger, Justin Marks, Christopher McQuarrie & Eric Warren Singer)
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually (Joe Robert Cole & Ryan Coogler)
Avatar: The Approach of Water (James Cameron, Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver)
The Son (Christopher Hampton & Florian Zeller)

*BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY*

Frontrunners
All the things All over the place All at As soon as (Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
The Fabelmans (Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
Tár (Todd Subject)
Triangle of Unhappiness (Ruben Östlund)

Main Threats
Babylon (Damien Chazelle) — podcast
The Lady King (Dana Stevens)
Aftersun (Charlotte Wells)
Armageddon Time (James Grey) — podcast
Until (Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu & Michael Reilly)

Potentialities
Elvis (Jeremy Doner, Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell & Craig Pearce)
Shut (Lukas Dhont & Angelo Tijssens)
Nope (Jordan Peele) — podcast
The Inspection (Class Bratton)
RRR (S. S. Rajamouli)

*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE*

Frontrunners
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Germany)
Shut (Belgium)
Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
Resolution to Go away (South Korea)
EO (Poland)

Main Threats
Corsage (Austria)
The Quiet Woman (Eire)
Saint Omer (France)
Cairo Conspiracy (Sweden)
The Blue Caftan (Morocco)

Potentialities
Holy Spider (Denmark)
Bardo (Mexico) — podcast (Alejandro González Iñárritu)
Joyland (Pakistan)
Final Movie Present (India)
Return to Seoul (Cambodia)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE*

Frontrunners
All That Breathes (HBO)
Fireplace of Love (Nat Geo/Neon)
Retrograde (Nat Geo)
Final Flight Residence (MTV)
Navalny (Warner Bros./CNN)

Main Threats
All of the Magnificence and the Bloodshed (Neon)
Unhealthy Axe (IFC)
Descendant (Netflix)
The Territory (Nat Geo)
Moonage Daydream (Neon)

Potentialities
The Janes (HBO)
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Tune (Sony Classics)
Hidden Letters (Cargo)
Kids of the Mist (CAT&Docs)
A Home Manufactured from Splinters (nonetheless looking for U.S. distribution)

*BEST ANIMATED FEATURE*

Frontrunners
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
Marcel the Shell with Sneakers On (A24)
Turning Purple (Pixar)
Puss in Boots: The Final Want (Dreamworks)
Wendell & Wild (Netflix)

Main Contenders
Inu-Oh (GKIDS)
Unusual World (Disney)
Apollo 10 1/2 (Netflix)
The Bob’s Burgers Film (twentieth Century)
The Unhealthy Guys (Common)

Potentialities
Minions: The Rise of Gru (Common/Illumination)
Everlasting Spring (ARTE)
Luck (Apple/Skydance)
My Father’s Dragon (Netflix)
The Sea Beast (Netflix)

*BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick (Claudio Miranda)
Avatar: The Approach of Water (Russell Carpenter)
The Fabelmans (Janusz Kaminski)
Babylon (Linus Sandgren)
Elvis (Mandy Walker)

Main Threats
Empire of Gentle (Roger Deakins)
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (James Good friend)
Tár (Florian Hoffmeister)
Emancipation (Robert Richardson)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Ben Davis)
All the things All over the place All at As soon as (Larkin Seiple)

Potentialities
RRR (Okay. Okay. Senthil Kumar)
The Batman (Greig Fraser)
The Lady King (Polly Morgan)
Don’t Fear Darling (Matty Libatique)
Ladies Speaking (Luc Montpellier)
Nope (Hoyte van Hoytema)
Bardo (Darius Khondji)

*BEST COSTUME DESIGN*

Frontrunners
Elvis (Catherine Martin)
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually (Ruth E. Carter)
Babylon (Mary Zophres)
The Fabelmans (Mark Bridges)
Dwelling (Sandy Powell)

Main Threats
The Lady King (Gersha Phillips)
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Jenny Beavan)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Jenny Eagan)
Empire of Gentle (Alexandra Byrne)
Until (Marci Rodgers)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh)
All the things All over the place All at As soon as (Shirley Kurata)
White Noise (Ann Roth)

Potentialities
The Batman (Jacqueline Durran)
Blonde (Jennifer Johnson)
Tár (Bina Daigeler)
Corsage (Monika Buttinger)
Ladies Speaking (Quita Alfred)
My Policeman (Annie Symons)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Diane Dwyer, Laura Kerrigan & Annika Schindler)
Armageddon Time (Madeline Weeks)

*BEST FILM EDITING*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick (Eddie Hamilton)
Avatar: The Approach of Water (David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua & Stephen E. Rivkin)
Elvis (Jonathan Redmond & Matt Villa)
All the things All over the place All at As soon as (Paul Rogers)
The Fabelmans (Sarah Broshar & Michael Kahn)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually (Kelley Dixon, Jennifer Lame & Michael P. Shawver)
Babylon (Tom Cross)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Bob Ducsay)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Mikkel E.G. Nielsen)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Sven Budelmann)
Tár (Monika Willi)
Triangle of Unhappiness (Mikel Cee Karlsson & Ruben Östlund)

Potentialities
RRR (A. Sreekar Prasad)
13 Lives (James D. Wilcox)
The Batman (William Hoy & Tyler Nelson)
The Lady King (Terilyn A. Shropshire)
Ladies Speaking (Christopher Donaldson & Roslyn Kalloo)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Holly Klein & Ken Schretzmann)
She Mentioned (Hansjörg Weißbrich)

*BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING*

Frontrunners
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually
The Batman
The Whale
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Main Threats
Crimes of the Future
Blonde
Babylon

Potentialities
Emancipation
Amsterdam

*BEST ORIGINAL SCORE*

Frontrunners
The Fabelmans (John Williams)
Ladies Speaking (Hildur Guðnadóttir)
Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Alexandre Desplat)
Avatar: The Approach of Water (Simon Franglen)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually (Ludwig Göransson)
The Lady King (Terence Blanchard)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Volker Bertelmann)
She Mentioned (Nicholas Britell)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Carter Burwell)

Potentialities
All the things All over the place All at As soon as (Son Lux)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Nathan Johnson)
Devotion (Chanda Dancy)
Don’t Fear Darling (John Powell)
Nope (Michael Abels)

*BEST ORIGINAL SONG*

Frontrunners
“Raise Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually) — Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna & Tems
“Maintain My Hand” (High Gun: Maverick) — Bloodpop, Woman Gaga & Benjamin Rice — podcast 1 and a pair of (Gaga)
“Naatu Naatu” (RRR) — M. M. Keeravani and Chandrabose
“Ciao Papa” (Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio) — Guillermo del Toro & Roeban Katz — podcast (del Toro)
“Stand Up” (Until) — D’Mile & Jazmine Sullivan

Main Threats
“New Physique Rhumba” (White Noise) — James Murphy
“Carolina” (The place the Crawdads Sing) — Taylor Swift
“Nothing is Misplaced (You Give Me Power)” (Avatar: The Approach of Water) — Simon Franglen, Swedish Home Mafia & Abel ‘The Weeknd’ Tesfaye
“This Is a Life” (All the things All over the place All at As soon as) — David Byrne, Ryan Lott & Mitski — podcast (Byrne)
“Time” (Amsterdam) — Aubrey ‘Drake’ Graham, Giveon Evans, Daniel Pemberton & Jahaan Akil Candy

Potentialities
“Applause” (Inform It Like a Lady) — Diane Warren — podcast
“My Thoughts and Me” (Selena Gomez: My Thoughts and Me) — Selena Gomez — podcast
“Good Afternoon” (Spirited) — Benj Pasek, Khiyon Hursey, Sukari Jones, Justin Paul & Mark Sonnenblick
“Mud & Ash” (The Voice of Mud and Ash) — J. Ralph — podcast
“Til You’re Residence” (A Man Referred to as Otto) — David Hodges & Rita Wilson

*BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN*

Frontrunners
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually
Elvis
Babylon
Avatar: The Approach of Water
Glass Onion: A Knives Onion Thriller

Main Threats
All the things All over the place All at As soon as
The Fabelmans
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
The Batman
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
13 Lives
The Lady King
RRR
Triangle of Unhappiness

Potentialities
Bardo
Don’t Fear Darling
Ladies Speaking
Until
The Banshees of Inisherin
Don’t Fear Darling
Empire of Gentle
Dwelling
Tár

*BEST SOUND*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick
Elvis
Avatar: The Approach of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually
All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Main Threats
Babylon
The Batman
Moonage Daydream

Potentialities
All the things All over the place All at As soon as
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio

*BEST VISUAL EFFECTS*

Frontrunners
Avatar: The Approach of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Perpetually
Physician Unusual within the Multiverse of Insanity
The Batman
High Gun: Maverick

Main Threats
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
Jurassic World Dominion
Improbable Beasts: The Secrets and techniques of Dumbledore

Potentialities
13 Lives
Nope