PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The truestarz’s government editor of awards, Scott Feinberg, displays his finest try and predict the habits of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences, not his private preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and business insiders, evaluation of promoting and awards campaigns, outcomes of awards ceremonies that precede the Oscars and the historical past of the Oscars ceremony itself. There shall be common updates to mirror new developments.

* * *

*BEST PICTURE*

Frontrunners
Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount) — podcast (Jerry Bruckheimer)
Every part All over the place All at As soon as (A24)
The Fabelmans (Common) — podcast (Steven Spielberg)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (twentieth Century/Disney)
Elvis (Warner Bros.)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Netflix)
Tár (Focus)
Triangle of Disappointment (Neon)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Netflix)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Disney) — podcast (Kevin Feige)
Ladies Speaking (UAR)
The Girl King (Sony)
RRR (Variance)
Babylon (Paramount)

Potentialities
She Mentioned (Common)
Until (UAR) — podcast (Barbara Broccoli)
Dwelling (Sony Classics)
A Man Known as Otto (Sony) — podcast 1 and a couple of (Tom Hanks)
13 Lives (Amazon) — podcast (Ron Howard)

*BEST DIRECTOR*

Frontrunners
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) — podcast
James Cameron (Avatar: The Manner of Water)
Todd Subject (Tár)
Baz Luhrmann (Elvis)
Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Disappointment)

Main Threats
Daniel Scheinert and Daniel Kwan (Every part All over the place All at As soon as)
Sarah Polley (Ladies Speaking)
Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Entrance)
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Damien Chazelle (Babylon) — podcast

Potentialities
S. S. Rajamouli (RRR)
Gina Prince-Bythewood (The Girl King)
Joseph Kosinski (High Gun: Maverick)
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly)
Ron Howard (13 Lives) — podcast

*BEST ACTOR*

Frontrunners
Austin Butler (Elvis)
Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Invoice Nighy (Dwelling)
Tom Cruise (High Gun: Maverick)

Main Threats
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
Gabriel LaBelle (The Fabelmans)
Ralph Fiennes (The Menu)
Tom Hanks (A Man Known as Otto) — podcast 1 and a couple of
Adam Sandler (Hustle) — podcast

Potentialities
Jeremy Pope (The Inspection)
Diego Calva (Babylon)
Hugh Jackman (The Son) — podcast
Will Smith (Emancipation) — podcast
Track Kang-ho (Dealer)

*BEST ACTRESS*

Frontrunners
Cate Blanchett (Tár) — podcast
Michelle Yeoh (Every part All over the place All at As soon as) — podcast
Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
Danielle Deadwyler (Until)
Olivia Colman (Empire of Gentle)

Main Threats
Viola Davis (The Girl King)
Margot Robbie (Babylon) — podcast
Ana de Armas (Blonde)
Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande) — podcast
Rooney Mara (Ladies Speaking)
Vicky Krieps (Corsage)

Potentialities
Jennifer Lawrence (Causeway) — podcast
Anya Taylor-Pleasure (The Menu) — podcast
Zoe Kazan (She Mentioned)
Letitia Wright (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly)
Jessica Chastain (The Good Nurse) — podcast
Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR*

Frontrunners
Ke Huy Quan (Every part All over the place All at As soon as)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
Brad Pitt (Babylon)

Main Threats
Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse) — podcast
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Tom Hanks (Elvis) — podcast 1 and a couple of

Potentialities
Ben Whishaw (Ladies Speaking)
Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)
Micheal Ward (Empire of Gentle)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS*

Frontrunners
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly)
Dolly de Leon (Triangle of Disappointment)
Jamie Lee Curtis (Every part All over the place All at As soon as)
Stephanie Hsu (Every part All over the place All at As soon as) — podcast
Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller) — podcast

Main Threats
Hong Chau (The Whale)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Claire Foy (Ladies Speaking) — podcast
Jessie Buckley (Ladies Speaking)
Nina Hoss (Tár)

Potentialities
Gabrielle Union (The Inspection)
Carey Mulligan (She Mentioned) — podcast
Keke Palmer (Nope)
Jean Sensible (Babylon)
Charlbi Dean (Triangle of Disappointment)

*BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY*

Frontrunners
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Rian Johnson)
Ladies Speaking (Sarah Polley)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell)
Dwelling (Kazuo Ishiguro)
White Noise (Noah Baumbach)

Main Threats
She Mentioned (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)
Girl Chatterley’s Lover (David Magee)
The Good Nurse (Krysty Wilson-Cairns)
The Whale (Samuel D. Hunter)

Potentialities
High Gun: Maverick (Peter Craig, Ehren Kruger, Justin Marks, Christopher McQuarrie & Eric Warren Singer)
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Joe Robert Cole & Ryan Coogler)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (James Cameron, Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver)

*BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY*

Frontrunners
Every part All over the place All at As soon as (Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert)
The Fabelmans (Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg) — podcast (Spielberg)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)
Tár (Todd Subject)
Triangle of Disappointment (Ruben Östlund)

Main Threats
Elvis (Jeremy Doner, Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell & Craig Pearce)
Babylon (Damien Chazelle) — podcast
The Girl King (Dana Stevens)
Until (Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu & Michael Reilly)
Nope (Jordan Peele) — podcast

Potentialities
Aftersun (Charlotte Wells)
Armageddon Time (James Grey) — podcast
Shut (Lukas Dhont & Angelo Tijssens)
The Inspection (Class Bratton)
RRR (S. S. Rajamouli)

*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE*

Frontrunners
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Germany)
Shut (Belgium)
Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
Choice to Depart (South Korea)
EO (Poland)

Main Threats
Corsage (Austria)
The Quiet Woman (Eire)
Saint Omer (France)
Cairo Conspiracy (Sweden)
The Blue Caftan (Morocco)

Potentialities
Holy Spider (Denmark)
Bardo (Mexico) — podcast (Alejandro González Iñárritu)
Joyland (Pakistan)
Final Movie Present (India)
Return to Seoul (Cambodia)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE*

Frontrunners
All That Breathes (HBO)
Hearth of Love (Nat Geo/Neon)
Retrograde (Nat Geo)
Final Flight Residence (MTV)
Navalny (Warner Bros./CNN)

Main Threats
All of the Magnificence and the Bloodshed (Neon)
Unhealthy Axe (IFC)
Descendant (Netflix)
The Territory (Nat Geo)
Moonage Daydream (Neon)

Potentialities
The Janes (HBO)
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Track (Sony Classics)
Hidden Letters (Cargo)
Youngsters of the Mist (Movie Motion)
A Home Made from Splinters (nonetheless looking for U.S. distribution)

*BEST ANIMATED FEATURE*

Frontrunners
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
Marcel the Shell with Sneakers On (A24)
Turning Purple (Pixar)
Puss in Boots: The Final Want (Dreamworks)
Wendell & Wild (Netflix)

Main Contenders
Inu-Oh (GKIDS)
Unusual World (Disney)
Apollo 10 1/2 (Netflix)
The Bob’s Burgers Film (twentieth Century)
The Unhealthy Guys (Common)

Potentialities
Minions: The Rise of Gru (Common/Illumination)
Everlasting Spring (ARTE)
Luck (Apple/Skydance)
My Father’s Dragon (Netflix)
The Sea Beast (Netflix)

*BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick (Claudio Miranda)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (Russell Carpenter)
The Fabelmans (Janusz Kaminski)
Babylon (Linus Sandgren)
Elvis (Mandy Walker)

Main Threats
Empire of Gentle (Roger Deakins)
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (James Good friend)
Tár (Florian Hoffmeister)
Emancipation (Robert Richardson)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Ben Davis)
Every part All over the place All at As soon as (Larkin Seiple)

Potentialities
RRR (Okay. Okay. Senthil Kumar)
The Batman (Greig Fraser)
The Girl King (Polly Morgan)
Don’t Fear Darling (Matty Libatique)
Ladies Speaking (Luc Montpellier)
Nope (Hoyte van Hoytema)
Bardo (Darius Khondji)

*BEST COSTUME DESIGN*

Frontrunners
Elvis (Catherine Martin)
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Ruth E. Carter)
Babylon (Mary Zophres)
The Fabelmans (Mark Bridges)
Dwelling (Sandy Powell)

Main Threats
The Girl King (Gersha Phillips)
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Jenny Beavan)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (Deborah Lynn Scott)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Jenny Eagan)
Empire of Gentle (Alexandra Byrne)
Until (Marci Rodgers)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh)
Every part All over the place All at As soon as (Shirley Kurata)
White Noise (Ann Roth)

Potentialities
The Batman (Jacqueline Durran)
Blonde (Jennifer Johnson)
Tár (Bina Daigeler)
Corsage (Monika Buttinger)
Ladies Speaking (Quita Alfred)
My Policeman (Annie Symons)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Diane Dwyer, Laura Kerrigan & Annika Schindler)
Armageddon Time (Madeline Weeks)

*BEST FILM EDITING*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick (Eddie Hamilton)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua & Stephen E. Rivkin)
Elvis (Jonathan Redmond & Matt Villa)
Every part All over the place All at As soon as (Paul Rogers)
The Fabelmans (Sarah Broshar & Michael Kahn)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Kelley Dixon, Jennifer Lame & Michael P. Shawver)
Babylon (Tom Cross)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Bob Ducsay)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Mikkel E.G. Nielsen)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Sven Budelmann)
Tár (Monika Willi)
Triangle of Disappointment (Mikel Cee Karlsson & Ruben Östlund)

Potentialities
RRR (A. Sreekar Prasad)
13 Lives (James D. Wilcox)
The Batman (William Hoy & Tyler Nelson)
The Girl King (Terilyn A. Shropshire)
Ladies Speaking (Christopher Donaldson & Roslyn Kalloo)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Holly Klein & Ken Schretzmann)
She Mentioned (Hansjörg Weißbrich)

*BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING*

Frontrunners
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
The Batman
The Whale
Elvis
All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Main Threats
Crimes of the Future
Blonde
Babylon

Potentialities
Emancipation
Amsterdam

*BEST ORIGINAL SCORE*

Frontrunners
The Fabelmans (John Williams)
Ladies Speaking (Hildur Guðnadóttir)
Babylon (Justin Hurwitz)
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Alexandre Desplat)
Avatar: The Manner of Water (Simon Franglen)

Main Threats
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly (Ludwig Göransson)
The Girl King (Terence Blanchard)
All Quiet on the Western Entrance (Volker Bertelmann)
She Mentioned (Nicholas Britell)
The Banshees of Inisherin (Carter Burwell)

Potentialities
Every part All over the place All at As soon as (Son Lux)
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Thriller (Nathan Johnson)
Devotion (Chanda Dancy)
Don’t Fear Darling (John Powell)
Nope (Michael Abels)

*BEST ORIGINAL SONG*

Frontrunners
“Raise Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly) — Ryan Coogler, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Tems
“Maintain My Hand” (High Gun: Maverick) — Girl Gaga and Michael ‘BloodPop’ Tucker — podcast 1 and a couple of (Gaga)
“Naatu Naatu” (RRR) — M. M. Keeravani and Chandrabose
“Ciao Papa” (Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio) — Guillermo del Toro and Roeban Katz — podcast (del Toro)
“Stand Up” (Until) — Dernst ‘D’Mile’ Emile II and Jazmine Sullivan

Main Threats
“New Physique Rhumba” (White Noise) — James Murphy
“Carolina” (The place the Crawdads Sing) — Taylor Swift
“Nothing is Misplaced (You Give Me Power)” (Avatar: The Manner of Water) — Simon Franglen, Swedish Home Mafia and Abel ‘The Weeknd’ Tesfaye
“This Is a Life” (Every part All over the place All at As soon as) — David Byrne, Ryan Lott and Mitski — podcast (Byrne)
“Time” (Amsterdam) — Aubrey ‘Drake’ Graham, Giveon Evans, Daniel Pemberton and Jahaan Akil Candy

Potentialities
“Applause” (Inform It Like a Girl) — Diane Warren — podcast
“My Thoughts and Me” (Selena Gomez: My Thoughts and Me) — Amy Allen, Jonathan Bellion, Selena Gomez, Jordan Okay. Johnson, Stefan Johnson & Michael Pollack — podcast (Gomez)
“Good Afternoon” (Spirited) — Benj Pasek, Khiyon Hursey, Sukari Jones, Justin Paul & Mark Sonnenblick
“Mud & Ash” (The Voice of Mud and Ash) — J. Ralph — podcast
“Til You’re Residence” (A Man Known as Otto) — David Hodges & Rita Wilson

*BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN*

Frontrunners
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
Elvis
Babylon
Avatar: The Manner of Water
Glass Onion: A Knives Onion Thriller

Main Threats
Every part All over the place All at As soon as
The Fabelmans
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
The Batman
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
13 Lives
The Girl King
RRR
Triangle of Disappointment

Potentialities
Bardo
Don’t Fear Darling
Ladies Speaking
Until
The Banshees of Inisherin
Don’t Fear Darling
Empire of Gentle
Dwelling
Tár

*BEST SOUND*

Frontrunners
High Gun: Maverick
Elvis
Avatar: The Manner of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
All Quiet on the Western Entrance

Main Threats
Babylon
The Batman
Moonage Daydream

Potentialities
Every part All over the place All at As soon as
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio

*BEST VISUAL EFFECTS*

Frontrunners
Avatar: The Manner of Water
Black Panther: Wakanda Endlessly
Physician Unusual within the Multiverse of Insanity
The Batman
High Gun: Maverick

Main Threats
All Quiet on the Western Entrance
Jurassic World Dominion
Improbable Beasts: The Secrets and techniques of Dumbledore

Potentialities
13 Lives
Nope